Modena vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 1
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
TOR
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 1
MOD
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 2
ATL
27%
29%
44%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LIV
0 - 1
MOD
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 0
TRI
62%
21%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
ABN
1 - 1
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GRO
0 - 1
SIE
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 1
GRO
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 0
GRO
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |