Modena vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
CES
2 - 0
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 0
TER
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 0
MOD
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 1
VIC
48%
28%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SAS
2 - 0
MOD
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 0
VIC
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 1
VIR
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 0
ASC
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
VIR
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 2
JUS
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |