Modena vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
24.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MOD
0 - 0
FOR
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ABN
0 - 1
MOD
39%
28%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MOD
0 - 1
PAD
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VNZ
1 - 0
MOD
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
FCS
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
ASG
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VNZ
1 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
11%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PAD
2 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
13%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |