Modena vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ANC
0 - 1
MOD
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MOD
2 - 1
VIS
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 2
MOD
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
MOD
4 - 4
PIA
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MOD
2 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PIS
0 - 0
ACD
14%
24%
62%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
PIS
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PIS
2 - 1
VIT
25%
27%
48%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CES
0 - 0
PIS
75%
17%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PIS
2 - 0
MON
26%
27%
47%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |