Modena vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
TAR
1 - 1
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
ASS
1 - 1
MOD
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
CAG
2 - 0
MOD
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
MOD
1 - 0
MES
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
MOD
0 - 1
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
UNI
52%
22%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
PAR
3 - 0
TAR
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
SAL
2 - 3
PAR
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |