Modena vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MOD
2 - 1
GRO
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PON
1 - 2
MOD
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MOD
3 - 2
ASG
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
IMO
1 - 2
MOD
22%
27%
51%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MOD
6 - 1
PIS
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
FER
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
ACD
17%
25%
58%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
OLB
0 - 0
FER
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
REG
2 - 1
FER
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FER
3 - 0
IMO
36%
28%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |