Modena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 1
MOD
21%
29%
51%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
MOD
3 - 1
ARZ
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
MOD
29%
31%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 0
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
ASG
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAD
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
PAD
3 - 0
RAV
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VIS
0 - 2
PAD
12%
23%
65%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
PAD
4 - 0
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |