Modena vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 1
MOD
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ACL
1 - 1
MOD
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
SIE
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
REG
3 - 0
MOD
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2000 |
MOD
0 - 0
ASL
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 5
VAR
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 0
LEC
62%
22%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
LEC
2 - 0
SIE
23%
28%
49%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
USC
1 - 0
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
PIS
26%
29%
45%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |