Modbury Jets vs South Adelaide Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
58.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
11º
5º
19
4º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
WAD
3 - 2
MOD
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MOD
2 - 1
CRO
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
MOD
2 - 2
CAM
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MOD
2 - 2
WHI
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
MOD
0 - 4
MFC
5%
10%
85%
|
16 | 67 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
South Adelaide Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SAP
1 - 1
SLF
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ADO
0 - 3
SAP
37%
22%
40%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
SAP
3 - 1
ADE
12%
17%
71%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +5 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
6 - 2
SAP
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NEM
2 - 1
SAP
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |