Modbury Jets vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
70.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
11º
5º
53
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 0
MOD
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SLF
2 - 3
MOD
33%
21%
46%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MOD
1 - 3
ADO
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 0
MOD
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MOD
4 - 1
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
NEM
5 - 0
ING
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NEM
4 - 1
SLF
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ADO
1 - 5
NEM
14%
18%
68%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NEM
4 - 0
ADE
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
1 - 2
NEM
20%
20%
59%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |