Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
7º
3º
24
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
40.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
59.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 65% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
NEM
1 - 1
MOD
80%
13%
8%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 2
CRO
38%
23%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 5
MOD
74%
15%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 3
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 2
ADE
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ADO
0 - 2
CAM
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 1
ADO
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ADO
1 - 5
WHI
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 0
ADO
60%
22%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
ADO
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |