Ponsacco vs Sestri Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VMO
1 - 0
MPO
11%
19%
70%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MPO
1 - 2
FCV
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SCA
0 - 1
MPO
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MPO
0 - 0
SDT
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
ASA
3 - 0
MPO
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
Sestri Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SES
2 - 0
FBC
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAS
1 - 0
SES
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SES
0 - 2
SAV
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ARG
1 - 1
SES
26%
27%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SES
2 - 1
URI
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |