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Serie D. Group E, Matchday 34

Ponsacco vs Sestri Levante analysis

Ponsacco Sestri Levante
19 ELO 17
28% Tilt -48%
8685º General ELO ranking 8299º
313º Country ELO ranking 306º
ELO win probability
67%
Ponsacco
22.2%
Draw
10.9%
Sestri Levante

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
Ponsacco
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
10.9%
Win probability
Sestri Levante
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ponsacco
+27%
-10%
Sestri Levante

Points and table prediction

Ponsacco
Their league position
Sestri Levante
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
42
10º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Albissola
69
69
100%
Sanremese
67
67
100%
Ponsacco
62
62
100%
Real Forte Querceta
60
60
50%
Viareggio
60
60
50%
Massese
56
56
100%
Savona
55
55
100%
Seravezza
51
51
100%
San Donato Tavarnelle
46
46
100%
Ghivizzano Borgo
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Ligorna
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Sestri Levante
12º
42
42
12º
100%
Lavagnese
13º
41
41
13º
100%
USD Rignanese
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Scandicci
15º
34
34
15º
100%
FBC Finale 1908
16º
30
30
16º
100%
Argentina SSD
17º
21
21
17º
100%
Valdinievole Montecatini
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ponsacco
Sestri Levante
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sestri Levante
SES
Ponsacco
MPO
Real Forte Querceta
USR
Sanremese
SAN
Viareggio
FCV
Sambenedettese
SSS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ponsacco
Ponsacco
1%
X%
2%
ELO MPO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2018
VMO
Valdinievole Montecatini
1 - 0
Ponsacco
MPO
46%
27%
27%
257 251 -6 -1
22 Apr. 2018
MPO
Ponsacco
1 - 2
Viareggio
FCV
41%
28%
32%
258 407 -149 -1
15 Apr. 2018
SCA
Scandicci
0 - 1
Ponsacco
MPO
41%
28%
31%
256 174 -82 +1
08 Apr. 2018
MPO
Ponsacco
0 - 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
SDT
46%
27%
27%
256 262 -6 0
29 Mar. 2018
ASA
Albissola
3 - 0
Ponsacco
MPO
46%
27%
26%
259 309 50 -2

Matches

Sestri Levante
Sestri Levante
1%
X%
2%
ELO SES ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2018
SES
Sestri Levante
2 - 0
FBC Finale 1908
FBC
45%
27%
28%
237 280 -43 +2
22 Apr. 2018
MAS
Massese
1 - 0
Sestri Levante
SES
47%
27%
26%
238 275 37 -1
15 Apr. 2018
SES
Sestri Levante
0 - 2
Savona
SAV
41%
28%
31%
240 324 -84 -2
08 Apr. 2018
ARG
Argentina SSD
1 - 1
Sestri Levante
SES
44%
27%
29%
240 240 0 0
29 Mar. 2018
SES
Sestri Levante
2 - 1
USD Rignanese
URI
46%
27%
27%
239 267 -28 +1