Super Liga Temporada Regular. Jor. 3

Mladost Lučani vs Crvena Zvezda analysis

Mladost Lučani Crvena Zvezda
68 ELO 81
7.5% Tilt -8.2%
1352º General ELO ranking 274º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
18.8%
Mladost Lučani
21.7%
Draw
59.5%
Crvena Zvezda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
Mladost Lučani
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
59.5%
Win probability
Crvena Zvezda
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mladost Lučani
-4%
+12%
Crvena Zvezda

Points and table prediction

Mladost Lučani
Their league position
Crvena Zvezda
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
14º
14º
82
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Crvena Zvezda
82
82
100%
FK TSC
62
62
100%
FK Cukaricki
60
60
100%
Partizan Belgrade
58
58
100%
Vojvodina Novi Sad
54
54
100%
Novi Pazar
50
50
100%
FK Vozdovac
39
39
100%
Radnički Kragujevac
37
37
0%
Kolubara
37
37
0%
Napredak Krusevac
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Javor Ivanjica
12º
29
29
11º
100%
Radnicki Nis
11º
29
29
12º
100%
FK Spartak Subotica
13º
25
25
13º
100%
Mladost Lučani
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Radnik Surdulica
15º
23
23
15º
100%
Mladost GAT
16º
20
20
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mladost Lučani
Crvena Zvezda
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Mladost Lučani
Crvena Zvezda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mladost Lučani
Mladost Lučani
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jul. 2022
RAD
Radnički Kragujevac
1 - 0
Mladost Lučani
MLA
32%
28%
41%
69 61 8 0
09 Jul. 2022
MLA
Mladost Lučani
1 - 1
FK Spartak Subotica
FKS
50%
25%
26%
69 66 3 0
01 Jul. 2022
MLA
Mladost Lučani
3 - 1
Mladost GAT
MNS
64%
20%
16%
69 64 5 0
28 Jun. 2022
MLA
Mladost Lučani
2 - 1
FK Vozdovac
VOZ
47%
25%
28%
69 71 2 0
25 Jun. 2022
MLA
Mladost Lučani
0 - 3
Decic
DEC
57%
22%
21%
69 65 4 0

Matches

Crvena Zvezda
Crvena Zvezda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 2022
CRV
Crvena Zvezda
5 - 0
Kolubara
KOL
75%
16%
9%
81 65 16 0
10 Jul. 2022
CRV
Crvena Zvezda
4 - 0
Radnicki Nis
RAD
67%
20%
13%
81 76 5 0
03 Jul. 2022
ZEN
Zenit
2 - 1
Crvena Zvezda
CRV
60%
20%
20%
82 85 3 -1
30 Jun. 2022
CRV
Crvena Zvezda
0 - 1
FC Koper
FCK
64%
19%
17%
82 75 7 0
27 Jun. 2022
CRV
Crvena Zvezda
1 - 1
Domžale
DOM
68%
18%
14%
82 72 10 0
X