Mizushima vs Baleine Shimonoseki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mizushima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
FCF
2 - 0
MMM
14%
17%
69%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
MMM
1 - 0
MCF
50%
22%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
KUS
2 - 0
MMM
42%
24%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SRC
1 - 0
MMM
8%
14%
77%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
RKU
1 - 2
MMM
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +13 |
Matches
Baleine Shimonoseki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
FCF
1 - 0
BAS
80%
13%
8%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |