Missouri State vs Evansville Aces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
2.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Missouri State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
DKB
0 - 1
MSB
23%
20%
57%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MSB
3 - 0
BLB
89%
8%
3%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
UCF
2 - 1
MSB
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
MSB
1 - 0
DEP
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Evansville Aces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
EVA
0 - 2
LYR
8%
14%
79%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BLB
1 - 0
EVA
52%
21%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |