Mirassol vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
MIR
42%
26%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 1
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MIR
3 - 3
CAT
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
MIR
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
FLA
35%
27%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAO
16%
24%
60%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 0
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |