Mirassol vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 0
BAT
63%
21%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BAT
0 - 1
MIR
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
UNI
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 3
MIR
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 1
BAT
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAU
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |