Mirassol vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CRI
3 - 0
MIR
45%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 1
MIR
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 5
ECS
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 1
MIR
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MIR
0 - 1
FFL
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAR
61%
25%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
YPI
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 4
NOV
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
CRI
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ECS
1 - 1
NOV
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |