Mirassol vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
FFL
1 - 1
MIR
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
OES
0 - 1
MIR
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 3
MIR
46%
27%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 2
YPI
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
SAO
4 - 0
MIR
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 1
PAR
49%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
ECS
0 - 0
ITU
39%
29%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 4
NOV
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CRI
1 - 0
ITU
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
NOV
4 - 0
ITU
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |