Mirassol vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
MIR
21%
25%
55%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MIR
2 - 1
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
FER
1 - 2
MIR
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MIR
0 - 0
SAO
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
XVD
1 - 2
MIR
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
FER
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
FER
1 - 2
MIR
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
FER
24%
27%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
ATI
56%
24%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |