Mirasol-Baco vs At. Sant Just analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
75.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+183%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirasol-Baco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BVA
3 - 2
MIR
86%
10%
4%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 1
CAS
47%
23%
30%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 1
MIR
51%
22%
28%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CER
3 - 1
MIR
44%
23%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 0
PAJ
20%
21%
59%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
At. Sant Just
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SJU
4 - 0
PAJ
71%
17%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CDE
3 - 4
SJU
25%
22%
54%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SJU
3 - 2
CAL
83%
12%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
JOA
2 - 4
SJU
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SJU
2 - 0
TRO
44%
23%
33%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |