Tercera RFEF VIII - Castilla y León. Jor. 27

Mirandés B vs Ponferradina B analysis

Mirandés B Ponferradina B
26 ELO 21
-17.2% Tilt -20.6%
8956º General ELO ranking 11264º
381º Country ELO ranking 730º
ELO win probability
58.1%
Mirandés B
22.5%
Draw
19.3%
Ponferradina B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
Mirandés B
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.3%
Win probability
Ponferradina B
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mirandés B
-15%
-43%
Ponferradina B

Points and table prediction

Mirandés B
Their league position
Ponferradina B
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
16º
14º
14
17º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Ávila
75
78
100%
Salamanca UDS
70
73
100%
Atlético Tordesillas
64
67
100%
Júpiter Leonés
63
63
100%
Atl. Astorga
55
58
90%
Palencia Cristo Atlético
52
55
71.5%
Palencia CF
52
52
34.5%
Becerril
51
52
38%
UD Santa Marta
43
43
100%
La Virgen del Camino
10º
41
41
10º
87%
SD Almazán
11º
41
41
11º
58.5%
Atl. Bembibre
13º
38
39
12º
11%
Burgos CF B
12º
39
39
13º
39%
Mirandés B
14º
34
34
14º
100%
CD Villaralbo
15º
33
33
15º
100%
CD Laguna
16º
29
29
16º
100%
DiocesÁvila - UCAV
17º
25
25
17º
100%
Ponferradina B
18º
14
14
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mirandés B
Ponferradina B
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Mirandés B
Ponferradina B
Real Ávila
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mirandés B
Mirandés B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2024
COL
DiocesÁvila - UCAV
1 - 0
Mirandés B
MIR
42%
25%
33%
26 23 3 0
16 Mar. 2024
MIR
Mirandés B
0 - 1
Atl. Astorga
AST
26%
25%
49%
27 37 10 -1
10 Mar. 2024
TOR
Atlético Tordesillas
1 - 0
Mirandés B
MIR
67%
20%
13%
27 39 12 0
02 Mar. 2024
MIR
Mirandés B
0 - 1
Palencia CF
PAL
44%
25%
31%
28 30 2 -1
24 Feb. 2024
BUR
Burgos CF B
2 - 1
Mirandés B
MIR
56%
24%
21%
29 34 5 -1

Matches

Ponferradina B
Ponferradina B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2024
PON
Ponferradina B
3 - 0
La Virgen del Camino
LVC
18%
22%
59%
18 30 12 0
17 Mar. 2024
STM
UD Santa Marta
2 - 1
Ponferradina B
PON
75%
17%
9%
18 30 12 0
10 Mar. 2024
PON
Ponferradina B
1 - 2
Palencia Cristo Atlético
CAT
12%
20%
68%
18 43 25 0
06 Mar. 2024
SDA
SD Almazán
1 - 0
Ponferradina B
PON
70%
18%
12%
19 25 6 -1
24 Feb. 2024
AST
Atl. Astorga
2 - 0
Ponferradina B
PON
78%
15%
7%
19 37 18 0
X