Miramar vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
9º
3º
18
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 49 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 37 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 34 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 34 |
4º
|
39.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 25 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 18 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 15 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 15 |
9º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 5 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
57% | 89% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
NWA
0 - 8
MIR
7%
13%
81%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MIR
2 - 1
WSU
81%
11%
8%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
WEL
1 - 0
MIR
88%
8%
4%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MIR
10 - 0
STO
91%
6%
3%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WKA
1 - 1
MIR
22%
20%
58%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
WEL
2 - 0
NAP
39%
21%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
IBU
1 - 5
WEL
9%
13%
78%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
WEL
4 - 0
UHC
77%
13%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
WES
5 - 0
WEL
65%
18%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 1
WEL
6%
11%
84%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +6 |