Minnesota United vs Austin FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minnesota United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
NSC
1 - 2
MIN
39%
25%
37%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
COR
4 - 3
MIN
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MIN
4 - 4
POR
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
HOD
1 - 2
MIN
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
MIN
4 - 0
EVE
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Austin FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
AUS
4 - 3
KCW
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AUS
3 - 3
SJE
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
KCW
0 - 2
AUS
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
AUS
3 - 4
RBN
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
DAL
1 - 1
AUS
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |