Minneapolis City vs Sioux Falls Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.5%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.7%
5-0
9.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.6%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
5.7%
1.7%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minneapolis City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
MIN
0 - 1
MIN
19%
19%
62%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
MEC
1 - 2
MIN
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
MIN
5 - 1
ARI
94%
5%
1%
|
41 | 5 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
VSL
1 - 5
MIN
33%
22%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
DUL
1 - 1
MIN
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sioux Falls Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
MIN
2 - 0
SFT
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
DAK
3 - 1
SFT
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SFT
1 - 2
DUL
7%
13%
79%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
MEC
3 - 1
SFT
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SFT
2 - 3
MIN
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |