Minneapolis City vs Aris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.6%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.3%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.1%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.5%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.2%
2.1%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minneapolis City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
MIN
5 - 0
SFT
90%
8%
3%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
JOY
2 - 3
MIN
23%
20%
57%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
DAK
2 - 5
MIN
7%
13%
80%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MIN
2 - 0
MEC
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
MIN
3 - 2
DUL
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 1
SFT
8%
14%
77%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 6
JOY
5%
11%
84%
|
6 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
DAK
3 - 0
ARI
73%
15%
12%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
MEC
3 - 1
ARI
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 3
DUL
6%
12%
82%
|
8 | 31 | 23 | -1 |