Minneapolis City vs Dakota Fusion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minneapolis City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
DAK
0 - 0
MIN
9%
15%
77%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
MIN
4 - 2
DUL
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
MIN
2 - 1
VSL
69%
19%
13%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
ARI
0 - 0
MIN
4%
10%
87%
|
42 | 5 | 37 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
MIN
2 - 2
MIN
82%
11%
7%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dakota Fusion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
DAK
0 - 0
MIN
9%
15%
77%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
MEC
11 - 0
DAK
84%
11%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
SFT
5 - 2
DAK
16%
18%
66%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
DAK
4 - 3
MIN
21%
20%
59%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
VSL
5 - 0
DAK
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |