Mineros de Fresnillo vs UA Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
9º
8º
17
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 0
NAY
15%
20%
65%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 0
MIN
75%
16%
10%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 2
EST
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
4 - 2
MIN
10%
14%
75%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -3 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 0
LEO
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 1
ZAC
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NAY
1 - 0
ZAC
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 0
TRI
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
ZAC
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ZAC
3 - 0
MFC
82%
12%
5%
|
59 | 23 | 36 | 0 |