Milton Keynes Irish vs Newport Pagnell Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
44.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Irish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RUG
3 - 1
MKI
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MKI
2 - 1
BUG
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
COV
4 - 1
MKI
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
OAD
0 - 2
MKI
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MKI
3 - 2
HIS
45%
21%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newport Pagnell Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LUT
0 - 7
NEW
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 1
COG
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MTU
0 - 0
NEW
40%
22%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 0
OAD
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
EAS
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |