League One Round 9

Milton Keynes Dons vs Crewe Alexandra analysis

Milton Keynes Dons Crewe Alexandra
70 ELO 62
1.2% Tilt 5.4%
3920º General ELO ranking 2892º
105º Country ELO ranking 77º
ELO win probability
58.2%
Milton Keynes Dons
22.5%
Draw
19.3%
Crewe Alexandra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
Milton Keynes Dons
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.3%
Win probability
Crewe Alexandra
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Milton Keynes Dons
+21%
+2%
Crewe Alexandra

ELO progression

Milton Keynes Dons
Crewe Alexandra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2012
MKD
Milton Keynes Dons
0 - 2
Sunderland
SUN
28%
28%
44%
70 84 14 0
22 Sep. 2012
BCF
Bury
1 - 4
Milton Keynes Dons
MKD
21%
25%
54%
69 55 14 +1
18 Sep. 2012
MKD
Milton Keynes Dons
1 - 1
Notts County
NOT
54%
25%
22%
69 66 3 0
15 Sep. 2012
MKD
Milton Keynes Dons
1 - 0
Yeovil Town
YEO
64%
21%
15%
69 61 8 0
08 Sep. 2012
WAL
Walsall
1 - 0
Milton Keynes Dons
MKD
26%
26%
48%
70 59 11 -1

Matches

Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2012
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 1
Leyton Orient
LEY
59%
23%
18%
62 57 5 0
18 Sep. 2012
CUM
Carlisle United
0 - 0
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
48%
24%
28%
62 63 1 0
15 Sep. 2012
STE
Stevenage
2 - 2
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
53%
24%
23%
62 68 6 0
08 Sep. 2012
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
0 - 0
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
55%
24%
21%
63 61 2 -1
01 Sep. 2012
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 0
Coventry City
COV
50%
25%
25%
62 63 1 +1