Professional Development League U18 round 8

Millwall U18 vs Reading U18 analysis

Millwall U18 Reading U18
38 ELO 24
8.5% Tilt 12.2%
7214º General ELO ranking 9355º
272º Country ELO ranking 366º
ELO win probability
78.6%
Millwall U18
13.1%
Draw
8.3%
Reading U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
Millwall U18
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.3%
Win probability
Reading U18
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Millwall U18
-1%
+144%
Reading U18

Points and table prediction

Millwall U18
Their league position
Reading U18
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
44
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Barnsley U18
64
67
100%
Sheffield United U18
53
56
100%
Charlton Athletic U18
51
54
100%
Peterborough United U18
44
53
100%
Millwall U18
48
51
52.5%
Cardiff City U18
46
49
52.5%
Bristol City U18
42
48
72.5%
Reading U18
44
45
100%
Sheffield Wednesday U18
12º
33
43
67%
Swansea City U18
39
42
10º
67%
Colchester United U18
13º
33
39
11º
100%
Crewe Alexandra U18
10º
38
38
12º
72.5%
Coventry City U18
11º
36
36
13º
72.5%
Burnley U18
14º
30
33
14º
100%
Ipswich Town U18
17º
24
31
15º
70.5%
Queens Park Rangers U18
15º
29
30
16º
70.5%
Watford U18
16º
25
25
17º
100%
Hull City U18
18º
21
21
18º
100%
Birmingham City U18
19º
20
20
19º
100%
Wigan Athletic U18
20º
17
17
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Millwall U18
Reading U18
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Millwall U18
Reading U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Millwall U18
Millwall U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
MIL
Millwall U18
1 - 0
Colchester United U18
COL
67%
17%
16%
38 28 10 0
25 Feb. 2023
QPR
Queens Park Rangers U18
0 - 2
Millwall U18
MIL
15%
17%
68%
38 22 16 0
18 Feb. 2023
MIL
Millwall U18
3 - 0
Swansea City U18
SWA
76%
14%
10%
37 25 12 +1
11 Feb. 2023
CAR
Cardiff City U18
0 - 4
Millwall U18
MIL
35%
21%
44%
36 31 5 +1
04 Feb. 2023
SWA
Swansea City U18
2 - 2
Millwall U18
MIL
17%
18%
64%
37 23 14 -1

Matches

Reading U18
Reading U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
CHA
Charlton Athletic U18
1 - 1
Reading U18
REA
81%
12%
7%
24 38 14 0
25 Feb. 2023
BRI
Bristol City U18
2 - 1
Reading U18
REA
51%
21%
28%
24 26 2 0
18 Feb. 2023
REA
Reading U18
1 - 0
Queens Park Rangers U18
QPR
49%
20%
31%
24 22 2 0
11 Feb. 2023
SWA
Swansea City U18
3 - 1
Reading U18
REA
47%
21%
32%
25 24 1 -1
01 Feb. 2023
REA
Reading U18
2 - 1
Cardiff City U18
CAR
25%
21%
54%
23 32 9 +2