Millwall vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
MIL
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 0
ROT
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 0
MID
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
QPR
3 - 2
MIL
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DER
0 - 1
MIL
38%
28%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 1
PNE
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BIR
1 - 0
SWA
16%
23%
60%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
BOU
3 - 0
SWA
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LUT
0 - 1
SWA
27%
25%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |