Millwall vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BUR
0 - 1
MIL
27%
27%
47%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
MIL
2 - 1
SHW
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BIR
0 - 1
MIL
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 1
CAR
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
MIL
21%
22%
57%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SUN
3 - 3
MID
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 0
SUN
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SUN
0 - 2
BRE
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BRI
3 - 3
SUN
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SUN
0 - 2
IPS
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |