Millonarios vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
COR
1 - 4
MIL
12%
23%
66%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
IND
0 - 2
MIL
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 0
JAG
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 3
MIL
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
AGU
0 - 0
MIL
19%
25%
56%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SFE
2 - 1
PAT
60%
24%
15%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
IND
2 - 0
SFE
39%
28%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SFE
2 - 1
TOL
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
SFE
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
SFE
1 - 1
AME
53%
26%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |