Millonarios vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 3
MIL
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
AGU
0 - 0
MIL
19%
25%
56%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MIL
4 - 2
CAL
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
MIL
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
MIL
3 - 0
FOR
65%
22%
13%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 2
PER
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
JAG
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
JAG
2 - 1
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 0
JAG
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 1
PAS
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |