Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
MIL
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
MIL
4 - 3
ONC
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 0
ENV
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 1
MIL
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
MIL
1 - 0
PER
64%
20%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PER
0 - 0
TOL
23%
28%
49%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
NAC
5 - 2
PER
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
PER
0 - 1
CAL
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 2
PER
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
MIL
1 - 0
PER
64%
20%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |