Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
AME
2 - 1
MIL
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
MIL
2 - 1
BUC
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 0
MIL
28%
27%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 2
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 2
MIL
19%
26%
55%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 1
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ENV
0 - 0
TOL
22%
27%
51%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUN
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 0
CAL
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |