Millonarios vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 2
MIL
19%
26%
55%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 2
MIL
17%
25%
58%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
MIL
12%
23%
66%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 2
JAG
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
JUN
2 - 0
MIL
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
JUN
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
NAC
29%
27%
45%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
5 - 0
ALI
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |