Superliga . Final
Global 2-1
Millonarios vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
23.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
MIL
0 - 0
CAL
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
MIL
0 - 0
SFE
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2017 |
SFE
2 - 2
MIL
36%
29%
36%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 0
SFE
50%
26%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2017 |
MIL
0 - 0
AME
61%
24%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
AGU
67%
21%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
WAR
0 - 2
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
ATM
41%
25%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
TOL
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 0
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |