Millbrook vs Mousehole AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
77.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millbrook
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 0
MLB
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MLB
0 - 1
WEL
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 2
MLB
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MLB
2 - 0
KEY
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 1
MLB
79%
12%
9%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mousehole AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAF
2 - 1
BRI
69%
17%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 4
MAF
26%
21%
54%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 0
ASH
82%
12%
7%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -3 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 3
MAF
9%
15%
76%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MAF
5 - 0
CAD
88%
9%
3%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |