Milanello Milmort vs Warnant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milanello Milmort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BEA
4 - 2
MIM
82%
11%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MIM
1 - 1
STO
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
WEY
2 - 2
MIM
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MIM
0 - 5
XHO
23%
22%
56%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HUY
3 - 0
MIM
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Warnant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 2
TIL
36%
22%
42%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SFR
1 - 0
WAR
28%
22%
50%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
WAR
4 - 2
HER
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
RAU
0 - 3
WAR
17%
20%
64%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BEA
3 - 3
WAR
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |