Milan vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 1
ACM
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
LIV
3 - 2
ACM
58%
22%
19%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ACM
2 - 0
LAZ
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ACM
4 - 1
CAG
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
ACM
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VNZ
1 - 2
SPE
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
EMP
1 - 2
VNZ
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BRE
4 - 0
VNZ
58%
22%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
UDI
3 - 0
VNZ
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NAP
2 - 0
VNZ
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |