Milan vs Sassuolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 0
ACM
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
ACM
2 - 0
LAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
ACM
33%
25%
41%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ACM
0 - 1
UDI
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 2
ACM
4%
13%
83%
|
86 | 17 | 69 | 0 |
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
GNK
3 - 1
SAS
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAS
1 - 0
UDI
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
SAS
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAS
2 - 0
GEN
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
SAS
3 - 0
ATH
34%
27%
40%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |