Milan vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CAG
0 - 2
ACM
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2020 |
ACM
0 - 0
SAM
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ATL
5 - 0
ACM
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ACM
0 - 0
SAS
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 3
ACM
35%
27%
39%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 0
SPA
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SPA
0 - 2
VER
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 2
SPA
84%
11%
5%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ROM
3 - 1
SPA
85%
11%
5%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
SPA
0 - 1
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |