Milan vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
ACM
4 - 0
LAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
INT
1 - 2
ACM
62%
21%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ACM
0 - 0
JUV
33%
25%
42%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
ACM
1 - 2
SPE
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
ACM
3 - 1
GEN
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SAM
4 - 0
SAS
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 0
SAM
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
JUV
4 - 1
SAM
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 2
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 0
SAM
73%
17%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |