Milan vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 3
ACM
28%
26%
47%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
ACM
0 - 1
MUD
32%
26%
43%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ACM
0 - 1
NAP
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
MUD
1 - 1
ACM
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VER
0 - 2
ACM
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 0
TOR
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BOL
3 - 1
SAM
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 2
CAG
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
GEN
1 - 1
SAM
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 2
ATL
17%
21%
62%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |