Milan vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
UDI
0 - 0
ACM
29%
28%
44%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
SIE
1 - 2
ACM
14%
26%
60%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ACM
1 - 0
EMP
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
DEP
4 - 0
ACM
54%
24%
21%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACM
15%
26%
59%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ROM
3 - 0
EMP
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MOD
0 - 1
ROM
17%
26%
58%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ROM
3 - 1
CHI
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LEC
0 - 3
ROM
18%
26%
56%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | +1 |