Milan vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
11.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACM
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
ACM
2 - 1
PAL
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
ACM
4 - 1
BAR
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
54%
21%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
LIV
2 - 1
ACM
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
ASL
1 - 0
PRO
55%
21%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
PRO
0 - 3
BOL
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
PRO
0 - 1
TOR
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 1
GEN
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 1
PRO
51%
23%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |