Milan vs Panathinaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
RMA
0 - 0
ACM
68%
18%
14%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
VCF
0 - 0
ACM
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
NIC
1 - 1
ACM
13%
22%
66%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
ACM
5 - 0
MOD
85%
12%
4%
|
89 | 54 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 2
ACM
59%
21%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
PAN
1 - 1
APO
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
PAN
2 - 2
LOK
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
VVV
2 - 2
PAN
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
AZA
3 - 0
PAN
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
PAN
1 - 4
OLP
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |