Milan vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 0
ACM
20%
23%
58%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ACM
2 - 0
UDI
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 1
INT
61%
22%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 2
ACM
26%
24%
50%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ACM
0 - 2
PAL
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
NAP
3 - 0
SBR
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
NAP
2 - 2
EMP
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 1
NAP
31%
25%
44%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 0
NAP
30%
25%
45%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
NAP
3 - 3
CAG
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |